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Decision making and uncertainty: Bayesian analysis of potential flood heights
This paper provides a case study of a method to estimate the value of additional information, before its acquisition, to aid decision making in the face of uncertainty. The approach employs conditional simulation in a Monte Carlo framework to conduct a Bayesian assessment of the value of information in an explicitly spatial setting. This paper demonstrates the procedure as applied by a hypothet...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Nature
سال: 1933
ISSN: 0028-0836,1476-4687
DOI: 10.1038/131097a0